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Eurovision
Vol: $4.9M
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
20%
-6.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
9
Vol: $1.1M
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
Probability
December 31
20%
-2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
6
Vol: $1.1M
Maduro Prison Time?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No prison time
55%
-3.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
29
Vol: $804.7K
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
29%
+2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
159
Vol: $319.7K
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
2%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
34
Vol: $228.8K
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
Probability
December 31
25%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $195.6K
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
Saudi Arabia
22%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $179.5K
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Probability
Yes
1%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
24
Vol: $145.3K
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
Probability
Yes
4%
-2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
30
Vol: $133.3K
Maduro guilty of all counts?
Probability
Yes
33%
+1.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
12
Vol: $105.3K
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Probability
Yes
4%
+1.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
28
Vol: $34.6K
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?
Probability
Yes
10%
-8.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $32.3K
Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?
Probability
December 31
10%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $29.7K
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2028
28%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 years left
0
Vol: $28.8K
Lindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
Probability
Yes
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $22.8K
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Probability
Yes
10%
-3.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $22.3K
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
11%
-15.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
0
Vol: $15.7K
Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?
Probability
Yes
17%
-1.0%
Yes
No
9 months left
3
Vol: $14.5K
Lindsay Clancy sentenced to prison time in 2026?
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $10K
Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
March 31, 2027
39%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
1
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