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IPOs Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Finance / IPOs
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Prediction Markets
Treasuries
Vol: $7.7M
IPOs before 2027?
Probability
+28 MARKETS
Anthropic
70%
-20.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
82
Vol: $7.6M
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
SpaceX
86%
+15.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
59
Vol: $6.6M
Anthropic IPO by __?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
December 31, 2026
71%
-20.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
62
Vol: $3.7M
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+9 MARKETS
$1.5–$1.75T
28%
+4.3%
Yes
No
1 year left
18
Vol: $3.1M
OpenAI IPO by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
46%
-0.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
16
Vol: $2.6M
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+6 MARKETS
No IPO by December 31, 2026
97%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
22
Vol: $1.6M
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
64%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
52
Vol: $1.6M
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
$800B
74%
+0.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
3
Vol: $715.4K
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
<$1T
28%
-0.2%
Yes
No
1 year left
3
Vol: $694.1K
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+6 MARKETS
1.5T+
34%
-3.1%
Yes
No
1 year left
22
Vol: $650.4K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Probability
+6 MARKETS
1.8T+
37%
-20.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
18
Vol: $624.1K
Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+7 MARKETS
No IPO before January 2027
96%
-0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $619.5K
OKX IPO in 2026?
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $569.6K
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
November 2026
53%
-27.9%
Yes
No
1 year left
4
Vol: $559.5K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Probability
+6 MARKETS
600B+
96%
-1.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
18
Vol: $472.7K
Consensys IPO by ___ ?
Probability
December 31, 2026
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
22
Vol: $454.5K
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Probability
Anthropic
98%
-0.1%
Anthropic
OpenAI
1 year left
3
Vol: $337K
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
$3B
6%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
24
Vol: $335K
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
$1.50–$1.75T
53%
-8.6%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $320.6K
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Probability
Yes
3%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
9
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