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Natural Disasters Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Climate & Science / Natural Disasters
16 active events
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Topics in Climate & Science
Daily Temperature
Pandemics
Weather
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Earthquakes
Hurricanes
Global Temp
Measles
Natural Disasters
Vol: $1.5M
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
14–16
54%
+9.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
31
Vol: $1.2M
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
1
48%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
8
Vol: $836.6K
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Probability
Yes
1%
-0.1%
Yes
No
3 months left
28
Vol: $352.1K
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Probability
Yes
4%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
13
Vol: $336K
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Probability
Yes
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
3 months left
6
Vol: $253.8K
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Probability
Yes
5%
+1.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
17
Vol: $148.5K
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Probability
Yes
6%
+1.2%
Yes
No
5 months left
10
Vol: $93.8K
How low will Lake Powell drop?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
Above 3,510 ft
96%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
1
Vol: $87.3K
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
1250+
93%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $23.5K
How low will Lake Mead drop?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
1,028–1,033 ft
50%
+6.2%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $22K
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
Probability
Yes
5%
+2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $5.4K
Will Hawaii reach Coral Bleaching Alert Level 1 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
Yes
13%
+7.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $5.3K
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
Does not return by January 1, 2027
39%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $4.9K
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
November 15 - 30, 2026
31%
-9.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $3.4K
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?
Probability
Yes
22%
0.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
0
Vol: $847.4
PHIVOLCS raises Mayon to Alert Level 4 by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
November 30, 2026
50%
+2.5%
Yes
No
25 days left
0
