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Global Rates Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Economy / Global Rates
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Fed Rates
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Global Rates
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Labor
Vol: $15.6M
Fed Decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
68%
-10.0%
Yes
No
1 month left
9.7K
Vol: $1.5M
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
2 (50 bps)
66%
-11.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $1.3M
Fed Decision in January?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
75%
-3.0%
Yes
No
3 months left
9.7K
Vol: $212.4K
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
68%
+5.0%
Yes
No
1 month left
11
Vol: $117.8K
Fed Decision in March?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
61%
+13.0%
Yes
No
4 months left
9.7K
Vol: $74.3K
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
89%
+0.4%
Yes
No
1 month left
1
Vol: $63.2K
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
83%
+7.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
127
Vol: $62.7K
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
82%
-7.0%
Yes
No
1 month left
148
Vol: $61.8K
Bank of England decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
62%
-15.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
13
Vol: $60.5K
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
64%
-7.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
4
Vol: $47.6K
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
0
70%
+0.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
59
Vol: $45.7K
Fed Decision in April?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
60%
+3.0%
Yes
No
6 months left
9.7K
Vol: $45.2K
Bank of Korea decision in November?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps hike
91%
+5.0%
Yes
No
20 days left
0
Vol: $41.9K
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
77%
-11.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
79
Vol: $39.9K
ECB rate cut in 2026?
Probability
Yes
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $39.5K
Bank of Russia decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
78%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 month left
181
Vol: $38.5K
Central Bank of Colombia decision in December
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
61%
-5.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
10
Vol: $31.9K
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No change
92%
+2.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
11
Vol: $30.5K
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
74%
-1.5%
Yes
No
28 days left
0
Vol: $28.4K
Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
25 bps increase
60%
+2.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
4
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