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Inflation Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Economy / Inflation
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Vol: $1.5M
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
Above 4.5%
11%
-2.0%
Yes
No
3 months left
40
Vol: $209K
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+9 MARKETS
5.00-5.49%
44%
+5.2%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $153.9K
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+8 MARKETS
3.5–3.9%
55%
-0.1%
Yes
No
3 months left
1
Vol: $133.7K
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
86%
-10.3%
Yes
No
3 months left
9
Vol: $125.2K
China Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+8 MARKETS
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $122K
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+8 MARKETS
3.1%+
87%
-0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
3
Vol: $114.1K
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+9 MARKETS
>5.0%
44%
-7.2%
Yes
No
3 months left
1
Vol: $109.6K
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+7 MARKETS
3.50% to 3.99%
61%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $103.8K
India Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+6 MARKETS
4.50%+
96%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $91.6K
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
Probability
+5 MARKETS
≤1.9%
62%
-6.9%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $91K
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+6 MARKETS
30.0-34.9%
70%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
16
Vol: $85.3K
South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+6 MARKETS
2.7% to 2.9%
42%
+3.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $83.9K
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+7 MARKETS
3.0-3.4%
42%
+2.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $77.2K
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Probability
+5 MARKETS
2.0-2.4%
89%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
2
Vol: $69.8K
October Inflation US - Annual
Probability
+11 MARKETS
3.7%
88%
-0.5%
Yes
No
5 days left
208
Vol: $60.3K
October Inflation China - Annual
Probability
+4 MARKETS
0.7% to 0.8%
54%
+2.5%
Yes
No
4 days left
0
Vol: $48.7K
PPI YoY - October 2026
Probability
+9 MARKETS
6.8%+
36%
-0.5%
Yes
No
8 days left
0
Vol: $47.3K
What will gas hit by end of November?
Probability
+12 MARKETS
↓ $4.10
100%
0.0%
Yes
No
24 days left
84
Vol: $42.4K
October Inflation US - Monthly
Probability
+8 MARKETS
0.3%
42%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 days left
49
Vol: $34.5K
Argentina Monthly Inflation - October
Probability
+7 MARKETS
1.9 to 2.1%
39%
-7.5%
Yes
No
6 days left
24
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