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Big Tech Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Tech / Big Tech
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Prediction Markets
Vol: $18.4M
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Probability
+13 MARKETS
PayPal
12%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
23
Vol: $9.8M
Largest Company end of December 2026?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
Apple
67%
+7.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.6K
Vol: $7.7M
IPOs before 2027?
Probability
+28 MARKETS
Anthropic
70%
-20.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
82
Vol: $7.6M
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
SpaceX
86%
+15.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
59
Vol: $6.8M
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Probability
+10 MARKETS
↑$1.5T
83%
-8.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
50
Vol: $3.7M
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+9 MARKETS
$1.5–$1.75T
28%
+4.3%
Yes
No
1 year left
18
Vol: $3.3M
AI bubble burst by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
28%
+5.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
104
Vol: $3.1M
OpenAI IPO by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
46%
-0.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
16
Vol: $2.6M
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+6 MARKETS
No IPO by December 31, 2026
97%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
22
Vol: $2M
Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
20
Vol: $2M
Richest person on December 31, 2026?
Probability
+10 MARKETS
Elon Musk
96%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
29
Vol: $1.7M
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
69%
-2.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
32
Vol: $1.6M
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
$800B
74%
+0.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
3
Vol: $1.4M
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Probability
+15 MARKETS
↑$1.3T
72%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
16
Vol: $721.6K
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
5%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
20
Vol: $716.6K
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
CXMT
20%
+2.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
5
Vol: $715.4K
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
<$1T
28%
-0.2%
Yes
No
1 year left
3
Vol: $694.1K
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Probability
+6 MARKETS
1.5T+
34%
-3.1%
Yes
No
1 year left
22
Vol: $650.4K
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Probability
+6 MARKETS
1.8T+
37%
-20.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
18
Vol: $569.6K
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
November 2026
53%
-27.9%
Yes
No
1 year left
4
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