Markets
Screener
News
Calendar
Live Trades
Portfolio
Leaderboard
Blog
⌘
K
Toggle Menu
Science Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Tech / Science
53 active events
Crypto
Finance
Sports
Politics
Culture
Tech
Economy
World
Elections
Earnings
Climate & Science
Mentions
Weather
Topics in Tech
AI
Elon Musk
App Store
SpaceX
Apple
Science
OpenAI
MicroStrategy
Big Tech
TikTok
Prediction Markets
Vol: $77.8M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
-0.2%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.7K
Vol: $8.3M
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
↑5k
100%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
1K
Vol: $7.6M
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
SpaceX
86%
+15.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
59
Vol: $2M
Human moon landing in 2026?
Probability
Yes
1%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
34
Vol: $1.3M
New pandemic in 2026?
Probability
Yes
2%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
38
Vol: $1.2M
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
56%
-0.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
19
Vol: $1.2M
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
31%
+2.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
45
Vol: $598K
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
4
Vol: $538.5K
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
67%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
10
Vol: $533.7K
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
<5
78%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
20
Vol: $521K
Plague pandemic in 2026?
Probability
Yes
1%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $472.6K
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2028
30%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 years left
13
Vol: $462.3K
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
0
82%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $345.8K
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
140-159
77%
+4.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $322.9K
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
34%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
1
Vol: $248.8K
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
67%
-1.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $208.1K
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Probability
Yes
10%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $199.2K
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
Probability
Yes
2%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
13
Vol: $136K
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
Probability
Yes
2%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
4
Vol: $124.1K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Probability
Yes
33%
+4.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
12
Load More
