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SpaceX Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Tech / SpaceX
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Prediction Markets
Vol: $7.6M
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
SpaceX
86%
+15.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
59
Vol: $1.7M
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
69%
-2.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
32
Vol: $1.2M
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
31%
+2.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
45
Vol: $533.7K
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
<5
78%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
20
Vol: $345.8K
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
140-159
77%
+4.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $124.1K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Probability
Yes
33%
+4.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
12
Vol: $93.1K
Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
61%
-6.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
3
Vol: $78.1K
AI data center in space by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
17%
-3.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
5
Vol: $65.8K
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
November 30, 2026
94%
+5.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
739
Vol: $44.1K
SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by ___?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
45%
+3.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $30.8K
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
March 31, 2027
50%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
3
Vol: $30.6K
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
-3.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
3
Vol: $13.3K
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
Probability
SpaceX
83%
-1.6%
SpaceX
OpenAI
1 year left
5
Vol: $12.6K
SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
90%
+0.2%
Yes
No
8 months left
0
Vol: $12.6K
Elon Bull Run Combo
Probability
Yes
2%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $2.8K
1 million American kids get SpaceX shares by December 31, 2027?
Probability
Yes
90%
+50.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $1.5K
Elon Musk Net Worth on November 30?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
$800-$900B
39%
+8.0%
Yes
No
25 days left
288
Vol: $1.2K
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
Probability
Yes
77%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
12
Vol: $931.5
How many SpaceX launches in November 2026?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
<13
96%
+7.5%
Yes
No
25 days left
5
Vol: $926.1
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?
Probability
Yes
8%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
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