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Vol: $2.2M
Will Alberta join the US?
Probability
Yes
1%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
11
Vol: $504.9K
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Probability
Yes
2%
-0.1%
Yes
No
Ended
23
Vol: $320.1K
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31
57%
-11.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
3
Vol: $271.1K
Next Premier of British Columbia
Probability
+5 MARKETS
Lorne Doerkson
99%
+0.8%
Yes
No
Ended
10
Vol: $212.4K
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
68%
+5.0%
Yes
No
1 month left
11
Vol: $161K
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Probability
Yes
11%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
307
Vol: $141.6K
Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner
Probability
+2 MARKETS
Pam Alexis
4%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
4
Vol: $100.2K
Another Canada election called by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
5%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
40
Vol: $83.9K
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+7 MARKETS
3.0-3.4%
42%
+2.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $62.7K
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
Probability
Yes
10%
-1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
10
Vol: $59.3K
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
3%
-0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $19.3K
Ontario Liberal Party Leadership Election Winner
Probability
+4 MARKETS
Lee Fairclough
62%
+1.5%
Yes
No
4 days left
1
Vol: $15.3K
Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
↓1.33
53%
+2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $13.4K
B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner
Probability
+7 MARKETS
Sheldon Clare
25%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
1
Vol: $12.9K
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?
Probability
October 31
87%
+8.2%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $12.8K
Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
31%
-6.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
0
Vol: $12.8K
Bank of Canada Decision in January?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
52%
+5.0%
Yes
No
3 months left
11
Vol: $11.8K
USMCA extended in 2026?
Probability
Yes
7%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $11.1K
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
89%
+2.9%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $10.6K
Canada GDP: September 2026 (MoM)
Probability
+5 MARKETS
-0.2 to -0.1%
57%
-8.5%
Yes
No
24 days left
0
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