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Vol: $4.8M
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
8%
+0.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
463
Vol: $3.2M
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
116
Vol: $2.3M
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Probability
December 31
7%
-3.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
190
Vol: $2.2M
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
56%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
68
Vol: $2.1M
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Probability
December 31
3%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
168
Vol: $1.9M
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
Druzkhivka
18%
-3.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
70
Vol: $1.2M
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
Probability
December 31
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
13
Vol: $997K
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
Probability
December 31
16%
+2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
144
Vol: $973.1K
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
8%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
14
Vol: $872.6K
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?
Probability
March 31, 2027
3%
-0.1%
Yes
No
5 months left
3
Vol: $537.9K
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
42%
-9.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $495.5K
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
82%
-2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $462.7K
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
Probability
December 31
8%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $368.2K
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?
Probability
December 31
5%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
19
Vol: $341.8K
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
Probability
December 31
14%
-2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
3
Vol: $339.3K
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
Probability
December 31
18%
-2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
8
Vol: $334.6K
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
March 31, 2027
17%
-2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $318K
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
Probability
December 31
5%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $299K
Will Russia enter Borova by...?
Probability
December 31
10%
+2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
34
Vol: $279.8K
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?
Probability
December 31
7%
+0.9%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
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