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Middle East Prediction Markets — Outkomes
World / Middle East
136 active events
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Yemen
Vol: $125.3M
Netanyahu out by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
57%
+8.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
2.2K
Vol: $88.1M
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Probability
+20 MARKETS
Gadi Eizenkot
63%
+6.3%
Yes
No
Ended
1.8K
Vol: $78.1M
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Probability
Yes
13%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.2K
Vol: $41.6M
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
October 31
100%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.1K
Vol: $40.8M
Iran leader end of 2026?
Probability
+29 MARKETS
Mojtaba Khamenei
92%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
156
Vol: $29.5M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
3.7K
Vol: $22.4M
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
438
Vol: $21.3M
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
10%
+3.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
163
Vol: $18.6M
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
219
Vol: $7.9M
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
848
Vol: $7.8M
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
4
79%
+2.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
523
Vol: $7.6M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
Probability
December 31
11%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
415
Vol: $4.1M
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
979
Vol: $3.5M
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
2%
-2.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
22
Vol: $2.9M
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
357
Vol: $2.6M
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
November 30
89%
-3.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
11
Vol: $2.4M
Iran coup attempt by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
23%
+4.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
25
Vol: $2.2M
Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
3%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
37
Vol: $2.1M
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Probability
Yes
8%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
899
Vol: $1.9M
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Probability
+11 MARKETS
Somaliland
12%
+0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
44
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