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Yemen Prediction Markets — Outkomes
World / Yemen
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Yemen
Vol: $18M
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31
8%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
278
Vol: $2.6M
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
November 30
89%
-3.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
11
Vol: $2.1M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Probability
December 31
4%
-0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
11
Vol: $987.3K
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Lebanon
6%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
592
Vol: $779K
Houthis enter Aden by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
17%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $667.1K
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
Probability
December 31
22%
-7.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $644.8K
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
11%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
4
Vol: $558.3K
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
November 30
28%
-2.0%
Yes
No
24 days left
5
Vol: $546.6K
Saudi airspace closed by...?
Probability
December 31
8%
-2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $341K
Houthi military action against Israel by...?
Probability
December 31
24%
+5.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
574
Vol: $334K
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
Probability
December 31
14%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
4
Vol: $165.2K
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
October 4
97%
+2.0%
Yes
No
Ended
17
Vol: $156.1K
Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
28%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
6
Vol: $148.1K
Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
November 30
5%
-2.5%
Yes
No
25 days left
1
Vol: $137.2K
Houthis successfully target shipping by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
November 30
64%
+18.0%
Yes
No
25 days left
31
Vol: $124.3K
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
29%
+2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $123K
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?
Probability
+7 MARKETS
September 25
49%
0.0%
Yes
No
Ended
17
Vol: $122K
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...?
Probability
+24 MARKETS
November 6
97%
+2.0%
Yes
No
25 days left
30
Vol: $121.5K
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
7%
-1.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
2
Vol: $119.8K
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31
29%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
4
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