Gaza Prediction Markets

Vol: $4.1M

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Probability

December 31

6%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

979

Vol: $3.9M

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Probability

December 31, 2026

6%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

371

Vol: $2.9M

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Probability

December 31

6%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

357

Vol: $1.9M

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Probability+11 MARKETS

Somaliland

12%+0.5%

YesNo

2 months left

44

Vol: $1.2M

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Probability

December 31

8%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

23

Vol: $779.4K

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Probability

December 31

9%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

21

Vol: $354.4K

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Probability

Yes

13%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

468

Vol: $186.8K

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Probability

Yes

4%-3.0%

YesNo

2 months left

44

Vol: $145K

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Probability

December 31

7%0.0%

YesNo

2 months left

4

Vol: $99.8K

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Probability

Yes

14%0.0%

YesNo

1 year left

0

Vol: $93.1K

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Probability

Yes

3%-0.4%

YesNo

2 months left

25

Vol: $74.7K

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Probability

December 31

82%+2.1%

YesNo

2 months left

9

Vol: $18.7K

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Probability+1 MARKETS

Dem sweep; No Phase II

76%-15.9%

YesNo

1 year left

0

Vol: $5.3K

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Probability

Yes

3%-0.8%

YesNo

2 months left

0

Vol: $228.9

Palestinian elections delayed again?

Probability

Yes

51%-4.5%

YesNo

10 months left

3

World / Gaza

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Palestinian elections delayed again?

Topics in World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Palestinian elections delayed again?