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Brazil Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Politics / Brazil
28 active events
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Epstein
Vol: $556.1K
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Probability
+2 MARKETS
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
63%
+4.5%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $263.4K
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Probability
Yes
4%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
127
Vol: $209K
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
Probability
+9 MARKETS
5.00-5.49%
44%
+5.2%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $194.9K
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
Probability
Yes
24%
-6.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
5
Vol: $105.3K
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Probability
Yes
4%
+1.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
28
Vol: $63.2K
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
83%
+7.5%
Yes
No
1 month left
127
Vol: $57.4K
Brazil presidential election annulled?
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
12
Vol: $54.4K
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Probability
+5 MARKETS
Ruas <5%
9%
-12.9%
Yes
No
Ended
5
Vol: $47.1K
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
<-0.3%
46%
+11.0%
Yes
No
26 days left
3
Vol: $38.2K
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
Probability
December 31
88%
+2.8%
Yes
No
2 months left
3
Vol: $29.9K
Flávio Bolsonaro arrested before 2027?
Probability
Yes
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $29.9K
Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
25%
-10.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
2
Vol: $29.7K
Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2028
28%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 years left
0
Vol: $19K
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?
Probability
Yes
37%
-0.5%
Yes
No
5 months left
4
Vol: $15.8K
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
Under 5%
36%
-0.5%
Yes
No
6 months left
0
Vol: $13K
Bank of Brazil Decision in January?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
56%
+8.0%
Yes
No
3 months left
127
Vol: $10.3K
Bank of Brazil Decision in March?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No Change
61%
+2.0%
Yes
No
4 months left
127
Vol: $8.9K
Next Brazilian Minister of Finance?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
Geraldo Alckmin
31%
-1.0%
Yes
No
4 months left
0
Vol: $7.7K
Next Brazilian Chief of Staff?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
Camilo Santana
53%
-0.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
0
Vol: $5.1K
Will the US grant Flávio Bolsonaro political asylum in 2026?
Probability
Yes
26%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
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