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Midterms Prediction Markets — Outkomes
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Epstein
Vol: $78.3M
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Probability
+1 MARKETS
None
97%
+1.8%
Yes
No
Ended
38
Vol: $7M
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Probability
+6 MARKETS
Mary Peltola (D)
98%
+2.9%
Yes
No
Ended
72
Vol: $5.8M
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Scott Colom (D)
98%
+1.7%
Yes
No
Ended
103
Vol: $1.9M
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Probability
+21 MARKETS
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
100%
-0.2%
Yes
No
Ended
2
Vol: $1.2M
NC-03 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Raymond Smith Jr. (D)
77%
-1.8%
Yes
No
Ended
22
Vol: $924.7K
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
Probability
+2 MARKETS
44
96%
+1.9%
Yes
No
Ended
14
Vol: $896.2K
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Probability
+9 MARKETS
Talarico 12%+
97%
+1.1%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $863.7K
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Cindy Holscher (D)
100%
+0.1%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $720.6K
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
<22
95%
+37.3%
Yes
No
Ended
4
Vol: $556.1K
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Probability
+2 MARKETS
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
63%
+4.5%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $473.6K
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
Utah
98%
0.0%
Yes
No
Ended
17
Vol: $404.1K
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
Probability
+12 MARKETS
Democrats 14-16%
75%
+54.6%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $324.8K
AZ-02 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Eli Crane (R)
96%
+22.3%
Yes
No
Ended
2
Vol: $252.4K
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Probability
+10 MARKETS
Chuck Schumer
83%
+2.5%
Yes
No
Ended
2
Vol: $240K
SC-01 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Nancy Lacore (D)
99%
+0.4%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $237.9K
CA-23 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Jay Obernolte (R)
94%
+23.4%
Yes
No
Ended
1
Vol: $225.1K
ME-02 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Paul LePage (R)
100%
+0.4%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $214.4K
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
Probability
+19 MARKETS
Mississippi
100%
-0.2%
Yes
No
Ended
1
Vol: $209.2K
CO-03 House Election Winner
Probability
+1 MARKETS
Jeff Hurd (R)
99%
+2.9%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $194.3K
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Probability
+9 MARKETS
El-Sayed 6-9%
97%
-0.5%
Yes
No
Ended
0
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