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Epstein
Vol: $31.9M
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
10%
+1.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
457
Vol: $13.2M
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31
12%
-1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
558
Vol: $10.5M
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Probability
+13 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
69%
-2.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
298
Vol: $4.8M
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
8%
+0.5%
Yes
No
8 months left
463
Vol: $2.3M
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31
96%
-1.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
215
Vol: $2.3M
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
China
89%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
61
Vol: $2.3M
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?
Probability
December 31
7%
-3.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
190
Vol: $2.1M
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Probability
December 31
3%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
168
Vol: $1.2M
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
Probability
December 31
3%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
13
Vol: $1.2M
US imports Russian diesel by...?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
March 31
24%
+2.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
61
Vol: $1.1M
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?
Probability
December 31
9%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
15
Vol: $997K
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
Probability
December 31
16%
+2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
144
Vol: $973.1K
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
8%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
14
Vol: $898.7K
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
28%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
209
Vol: $812.4K
U.S. nuclear test by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
4%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
24
Vol: $742.4K
Will Russia invade another country by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
19%
0.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
14
Vol: $664.5K
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo
Probability
Yes
3%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
25
Vol: $621.8K
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
-2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
135
Vol: $539.5K
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
34%
+1.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
7
Vol: $488.2K
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
4%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
14
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