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Venezuela Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Politics / Venezuela
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Venezuela
Epstein
Vol: $99.5M
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Nicolás Maduro
91%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
504
Vol: $14.2M
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.2K
Vol: $7.7M
US military action against Cuba by...?
Probability
December 31
8%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
118
Vol: $3.7M
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Probability
Yes
3%
-0.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
80
Vol: $3.5M
US strike on Mexico by...?
Probability
December 31
3%
-0.3%
Yes
No
2 months left
167
Vol: $2.7M
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
61
Vol: $2.3M
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?
Probability
December 31
4%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
76
Vol: $2.3M
US strike on Colombia by...?
Probability
December 31
14%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
51
Vol: $1.4M
Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?
Probability
December 31
2%
-1.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
36
Vol: $1.1M
Maduro Prison Time?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
No prison time
55%
-3.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
29
Vol: $674.4K
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
March 31, 2027
40%
+9.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
15
Vol: $661K
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?
Probability
December 31
8%
+2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
12
Vol: $447.4K
US x Cuba economic deal by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
-3.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
18
Vol: $442K
Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Delcy Rodríguez
95%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
Vol: $402.2K
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
Probability
Yes
1%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
23
Vol: $297.1K
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Probability
Yes
5%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
18
Vol: $265.9K
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?
Probability
Yes
1%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
10
Vol: $202.9K
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
Probability
Yes
2%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
41
Vol: $189.2K
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
1.2m
57%
0.0%
Yes
No
4 months left
8
Vol: $158.7K
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Probability
Yes
4%
+0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
7
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