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Post Election Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Politics / Post Election
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Venezuela
Epstein
Vol: $14.3M
Trump out as President before 2027?
Probability
Yes
4%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
1.9K
Vol: $1.7M
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Probability
Yes
44%
-9.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
93
Vol: $1.2M
Will Trump be impeached by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
December 31, 2027
60%
-2.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
93
Vol: $1.2M
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
Probability
December 31
8%
-2.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
72
Vol: $588.2K
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
Probability
December 31
5%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
17
Vol: $291.1K
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
55%
+6.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
1
Vol: $252.4K
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Probability
+10 MARKETS
Chuck Schumer
83%
+2.5%
Yes
No
Ended
2
Vol: $38.5K
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
Probability
+5 MARKETS
Hakeem Jeffries
94%
-1.1%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $32.7K
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?
Probability
Yes
21%
-3.0%
Yes
No
1 year left
2
Vol: $32.3K
Next US Senate Minority Leader?
Probability
+8 MARKETS
John Thune
86%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $29.8K
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
Probability
+8 MARKETS
Pete Hegseth
35%
-0.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $26.1K
Government shutdown by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
December 31
31%
-3.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $17.9K
Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
Probability
Yes
45%
-3.5%
Yes
No
3 months left
0
Vol: $10K
House Majority Leader of the next Congress?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
Katherine Clark
97%
+0.4%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $9.3K
Will the 120th Congress Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
Probability
Yes
96%
+7.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $6.5K
How many Trump vetoes by December 31, 2027?
Probability
+6 MARKETS
30+
26%
+12.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $5.1K
House Minority Leader of the next Congress?
Probability
+8 MARKETS
Jim Jordan
52%
+5.5%
Yes
No
Ended
0
Vol: $1.4K
Alaska Senator sworn in by January 5?
Probability
Yes
89%
+1.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
Vol: $122.3
How many Trump vetoes overridden by December 31, 2027?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
1
40%
-3.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
