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Israel Election Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Politics / Israel Election
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Epstein
Vol: $125.3M
Netanyahu out by...?
Probability
+2 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
57%
+8.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
2.2K
Vol: $88.1M
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Probability
+20 MARKETS
Gadi Eizenkot
63%
+6.3%
Yes
No
Ended
1.8K
Vol: $46.6M
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Probability
+9 MARKETS
November 3
100%
0.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
497
Vol: $963.1K
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Probability
+18 MARKETS
Gadi Eizenkot
98%
+0.5%
Yes
No
Ended
16
Vol: $556.1K
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Probability
+2 MARKETS
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
63%
+4.5%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $487.3K
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
Probability
December 31
6%
-0.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
8
Vol: $355.7K
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
Together
71%
+3.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
3
Vol: $267.4K
How many Israeli elections before government formed?
Probability
+4 MARKETS
1
68%
+9.0%
Yes
No
Ended
9
Vol: $212.1K
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
Yair Lapid
48%
+23.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
3
Vol: $203.7K
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Probability
+18 MARKETS
No Next Minister by Feb 28
29%
-15.3%
Yes
No
4 months left
1
Vol: $170K
Next Israeli government formed by...?
Probability
+3 MARKETS
June 30, 2027
76%
0.0%
Yes
No
8 months left
14
Vol: $154.7K
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Probability
+15 MARKETS
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38%
-1.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
2
Vol: $149.3K
Israeli Knesset election annulled?
Probability
Yes
3%
-0.1%
Yes
No
2 months left
2
Vol: $144.5K
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?
Probability
Yes
34%
-9.0%
Yes
No
Ended
3
Vol: $131.4K
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Probability
+12 MARKETS
No Next Minister by Feb 28
26%
-19.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
5
Vol: $130.5K
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Probability
+18 MARKETS
No Next Minister by Feb 28
23%
-22.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
2
Vol: $110.9K
Israel Election: Arab party disqualified?
Probability
Yes
1%
-0.1%
Yes
No
25 days left
1
Vol: $42K
Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?
Probability
+21 MARKETS
Other
45%
+22.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
Vol: $30.9K
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
Probability
+17 MARKETS
No Next Minister by Feb 28
38%
-9.5%
Yes
No
4 months left
4
Vol: $17.1K
Next Israeli government a minority government?
Probability
Yes
43%
-11.5%
Yes
No
1 year left
0
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