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French Election Prediction Markets — Outkomes
Politics / French Election
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Epstein
Vol: $166.8M
Next French Presidential Election
Probability
+44 MARKETS
Marine Le Pen
44%
+1.3%
Yes
No
5 months left
1.2K
Vol: $2.3M
Macron out by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
2%
+0.2%
Yes
No
2 months left
100
Vol: $1.1M
French election called by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
6%
+1.5%
Yes
No
2 months left
317
Vol: $659.2K
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Probability
+45 MARKETS
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%
-0.2%
Yes
No
8 months left
128
Vol: $533.2K
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Probability
+35 MARKETS
Marine Le Pen
90%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
7
Vol: $370.8K
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
Probability
December 31, 2026
13%
-0.5%
Yes
No
Ended
111
Vol: $131.4K
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Probability
+14 MARKETS
Dominique de Villepin
82%
-5.5%
Yes
No
5 months left
28
Vol: $104.3K
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Marine Le Pen
85%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $92.9K
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
45%
+1.5%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $51.6K
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
March 31
4%
+0.1%
Yes
No
5 months left
10
Vol: $43K
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Probability
+15 MARKETS
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
30%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $26.4K
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Probability
Yes
49%
-15.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
9
Vol: $10.9K
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe
Probability
+3 MARKETS
Édouard Philippe
65%
-1.5%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $8.3K
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?
Probability
+1 MARKETS
April 17, 2027
26%
+0.1%
Yes
No
5 months left
6
Vol: $7.9K
2027 French Presidential Election: Knafo or Zemmour for Reconquête?
Probability
Knafo
13%
+7.2%
Knafo
Zemmour
5 months left
0
Vol: $7.5K
French Presidential Election: Candidate with most signatures from elected officials?
Probability
+17 MARKETS
Bruno Retailleau
39%
+6.0%
Yes
No
4 months left
0
Vol: $5.2K
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?
Probability
Yes
5%
+0.1%
Yes
No
5 months left
3
Vol: $3.4K
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Probability
Yes
10%
0.0%
Yes
No
5 months left
0
Vol: $2.7K
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
Probability
Yes
7%
+4.0%
Yes
No
2 months left
0
